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Final
2024-05-2002:20Wrigley Field
3-2
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates0100200003100
Cubs001001000221

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 65% · Season 60% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
34%
-19pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+7pp
7–9 Late
39%
-12pp
F5 first five
44%
-9pp
F9 full game
44%
-8pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

47 games
0817253419181182022325317154242752426616257122781416910610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 177Runs Allowed 205

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

47 games
0112233452915127112161431932431315303662216717308141095610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 210Runs Allowed 201
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR23% 11/4719% 9/47#326% 12/4726% 12/47#128% 13/47#228% 13/4719% 9/4717% 8/4724% 10/4175% 6/8
RA21% 10/4721% 10/4728% 13/4721% 10/47#136% 17/4730% 14/4723% 11/47#232% 15/47#331% 11/3638% 3/8
CubsR26% 12/47#232% 15/4719% 9/4723% 11/4728% 13/47#134% 16/4721% 10/4723% 11/47#329% 10/3543% 3/7
RA23% 11/4717% 8/4713% 6/47#134% 16/47#328% 13/47#232% 15/4719% 9/4726% 12/4721% 8/3857% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.