Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-1906:05Citizens Bank Park

Nationals

Away

3-4

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Nationals	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	11	2
Phillies	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	1X	4	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Phillies scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.7

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Phillies defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Phillies offense × Nationals defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp

Last 20 75% · Season 67% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

41%

-12pp

7–9 Late

54%

+4pp

F5 first five

52%

-0pp

F9 full game

52%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 168Runs Allowed 180

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 241Runs Allowed 168

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	14% 6/43	30% 13/43	#235% 15/43	14% 6/43	#137% 16/43	19% 8/43	26% 11/43	21% 9/43	#332% 12/37	60% 3/5
Nationals	RA	23% 10/43	#149% 21/43	26% 11/43	12% 5/43	#328% 12/43	26% 11/43	16% 7/43	#235% 15/43	19% 6/32	60% 3/5
Phillies	R	#143% 20/46	30% 14/46	30% 14/46	24% 11/46	30% 14/46	33% 15/46	#335% 16/46	20% 9/46	#235% 11/31	71% 5/7
Phillies	RA	22% 10/46	#324% 11/46	#135% 16/46	11% 5/46	17% 8/46	20% 9/46	24% 11/46	#230% 14/46	22% 9/41	43% 3/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.