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2024-05-1902:20Wrigley Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 68% · Season 61% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
35%
-19pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+8pp
7–9 Late
40%
-10pp
F5 first five
45%
-7pp
F9 full game
45%
-7pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games
0817253419181182022325317154242752426616257122781415910610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 177Runs Allowed 204

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games
0112233452915127112161431932431315303662216717308131095610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 209Runs Allowed 201
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR24% 11/4620% 9/46#326% 12/4626% 12/46#128% 13/46#228% 13/4620% 9/4617% 8/4625% 10/4075% 6/8
RA22% 10/4622% 10/4628% 13/4622% 10/46#137% 17/46#330% 14/4624% 11/46#233% 15/4629% 10/3538% 3/8
CubsR26% 12/46#233% 15/4620% 9/4624% 11/46#328% 13/46#135% 16/4622% 10/4624% 11/4626% 9/3443% 3/7
RA24% 11/4617% 8/4613% 6/46#135% 16/46#328% 13/46#233% 15/4620% 9/4626% 12/4622% 8/3757% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.