Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-1807:20Truist Park

Padres

Away

3-1

Braves

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	13	1
Braves	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Braves scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.4

Padres scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Braves scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Cooling downCombined vs league -0pp

Inn.7

Padres scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Braves scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Braves defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Braves offense × Padres defense

25%R 30% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp

Last 20 55% · Season 51% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

44%

-9pp

4–6 Middle

42%

-10pp

7–9 Late

46%

-4pp

F5 first five

43%

-9pp

F9 full game

44%

-8pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 211Runs Allowed 207

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 193Runs Allowed 145

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	#233% 15/46	17% 8/46	#333% 15/46	26% 12/46	15% 7/46	#135% 16/46	33% 15/46	22% 10/46	14% 5/37	50% 1/2
Padres	RA	#135% 16/46	#333% 15/46	20% 9/46	#235% 16/46	17% 8/46	26% 12/46	26% 12/46	28% 13/46	20% 8/40	0% 0/2
Braves	R	28% 11/40	25% 10/40	#330% 12/40	30% 12/40	20% 8/40	25% 10/40	25% 10/40	#148% 19/40	#233% 9/27	62% 5/8
Braves	RA	#230% 12/40	15% 6/40	20% 8/40	20% 8/40	#325% 10/40	18% 7/40	22% 9/40	22% 9/40	#130% 10/33	38% 3/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.