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Final
2024-05-1802:20Wrigley Field
9-3
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates0023300109150
Cubs000000030341

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
37%
-17pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+9pp
7–9 Late
39%
-11pp
F5 first five
46%
-6pp
F9 full game
46%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games
0817253419181182022125314154212752426616257112481415910610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 168Runs Allowed 201

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games
0112233452915127112161231929431285303662216714298131095610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 206Runs Allowed 192
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR24% 11/4520% 9/4524% 11/4524% 11/45#227% 12/45#129% 13/4520% 9/4516% 7/45#326% 10/3975% 6/8
RA22% 10/4522% 10/4529% 13/4522% 10/45#138% 17/45#231% 14/4524% 11/45#331% 14/4529% 10/3438% 3/8
CubsR27% 12/45#233% 15/4520% 9/4524% 11/45#329% 13/45#136% 16/4522% 10/4522% 10/4527% 9/3343% 3/7
RA24% 11/4518% 8/4511% 5/45#133% 15/45#327% 12/45#233% 15/4520% 9/4524% 11/4522% 8/3657% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.