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Final
2024-05-1707:40Wrigley Field
5-4
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates200111000571
Cubs010110010471

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
20%R 20% · RA 20%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 60% · Season 57% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
36%
-17pp
4–6 Middle
54%
+2pp
7–9 Late
38%
-12pp
F5 first five
42%
-10pp
F9 full game
43%
-9pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
0816243317181181922125313144202652326616257112381415910610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 163Runs Allowed 197

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
0112233442913126112161231828430275303562216713298131095610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 202Runs Allowed 187
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR23% 10/4420% 9/44#325% 11/4423% 10/4425% 11/44#127% 12/4420% 9/4416% 7/44#226% 10/3875% 6/8
RA23% 10/4420% 9/4430% 13/4420% 9/44#136% 16/44#232% 14/4425% 11/4430% 13/44#330% 10/3338% 3/8
CubsR27% 12/44#232% 14/4420% 9/4423% 10/4427% 12/44#136% 16/4423% 10/4420% 9/44#328% 9/3243% 3/7
RA23% 10/4418% 8/4411% 5/44#132% 14/44#325% 11/44#232% 14/4420% 9/4425% 11/4423% 8/3557% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.