Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-1600:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Blue Jays

Away

2-3

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Blue Jays	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	0
Orioles	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2X	3	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Blue Jays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.6

Blue Jays scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 37%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

34%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 42%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.5

Blue Jays scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Orioles defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Orioles offense × Blue Jays defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 68% · Season 69% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+4pp

7–9 Late

48%

-2pp

F5 first five

52%

-1pp

F9 full game

52%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 150Runs Allowed 196

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 200Runs Allowed 152

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Blue Jays	R	20% 8/41	#329% 12/41	#139% 16/41	17% 7/41	20% 8/41	25% 10/40	#232% 13/40	15% 6/40	26% 8/31	50% 1/2
Blue Jays	RA	34% 14/41	24% 10/41	34% 14/41	27% 11/41	24% 10/41	#140% 16/40	30% 12/40	#238% 15/40	#336% 10/28	50% 1/2
Orioles	R	20% 8/40	32% 13/40	#235% 14/40	#335% 14/40	30% 12/40	25% 10/40	#140% 16/40	28% 11/40	23% 7/30	50% 5/10
Orioles	RA	20% 8/40	#325% 10/40	#130% 12/40	25% 10/40	18% 7/40	25% 10/40	25% 10/40	12% 5/40	#230% 11/37	70% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.