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Final
2024-05-1507:20Truist Park
Cubs
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0-7
Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp
#2
Inn.8
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Braves scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 10%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cooling downCombined vs league -11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Braves defense
28%R 40% · RA 15%
Braves offense × Cubs defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league -2pp
Last 20 55% · Season 58% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
35%
-19pp
4–6 Middle
45%
-7pp
7–9 Late
44%
-7pp
F5 first five
37%
-15pp
F9 full game
41%
-11pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games
0112233442612126112151231822429275303562215711298131095610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 195Runs Allowed 179

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

38 games
011223344182111792241132117412165201261515735158181895410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 185Runs Allowed 138
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR26% 11/42#233% 14/4219% 8/4224% 10/4226% 11/42#138% 16/4224% 10/4219% 8/42#330% 9/3043% 3/7
RA21% 9/4219% 8/4212% 5/42#231% 13/42#326% 11/42#133% 14/4219% 8/4226% 11/4224% 8/3457% 4/7
BravesR26% 10/3826% 10/38#332% 12/3829% 11/3821% 8/3826% 10/3824% 9/38#150% 19/38#235% 9/2662% 5/8
RA#229% 11/3816% 6/3818% 7/3821% 8/38#324% 9/3818% 7/3824% 9/3821% 8/38#132% 10/3138% 3/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.