Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-1407:20Truist Park

Cubs

Away

0-2

Braves

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0
Braves	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	X	2	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Braves scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Inn.8

Cubs scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Braves scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Braves scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Braves defense

30%R 40% · RA 20%

Braves offense × Cubs defense

25%R 20% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league -2pp

Last 20 55% · Season 57% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

39%

-15pp

4–6 Middle

48%

-4pp

7–9 Late

45%

-5pp

F5 first five

42%

-11pp

F9 full game

44%

-8pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 195Runs Allowed 177

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

37 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 183Runs Allowed 138

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	27% 11/41	#234% 14/41	20% 8/41	24% 10/41	27% 11/41	#139% 16/41	24% 10/41	20% 8/41	#331% 9/29	43% 3/7
Cubs	RA	22% 9/41	20% 8/41	12% 5/41	#132% 13/41	#327% 11/41	#232% 13/41	20% 8/41	27% 11/41	24% 8/34	57% 4/7
Braves	R	27% 10/37	27% 10/37	#332% 12/37	30% 11/37	22% 8/37	24% 9/37	24% 9/37	#151% 19/37	#235% 9/26	62% 5/8
Braves	RA	#230% 11/37	16% 6/37	19% 7/37	22% 8/37	#324% 9/37	19% 7/37	24% 9/37	22% 8/37	#133% 10/30	38% 3/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.