Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-1406:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Blue Jays

Away

3-2

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Blue Jays	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	3	8	0
Orioles	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Blue Jays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.7

Blue Jays scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 32%

Opponent allowing 20%

Orioles scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 32%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.6

Blue Jays scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 32%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 37%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Orioles defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Orioles offense × Blue Jays defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 68% · Season 71% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

54%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-0pp

7–9 Late

52%

+1pp

F5 first five

52%

-1pp

F9 full game

53%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 147Runs Allowed 194

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 198Runs Allowed 149

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Blue Jays	R	20% 8/40	#330% 12/40	#140% 16/40	18% 7/40	20% 8/40	23% 9/39	#233% 13/39	13% 5/39	27% 8/30	0% 0/1
Blue Jays	RA	35% 14/40	25% 10/40	35% 14/40	25% 10/40	25% 10/40	#138% 15/39	31% 12/39	#238% 15/39	#337% 10/27	100% 1/1
Orioles	R	21% 8/39	#333% 13/39	#236% 14/39	33% 13/39	31% 12/39	23% 9/39	#141% 16/39	28% 11/39	24% 7/29	56% 5/9
Orioles	RA	21% 8/39	#326% 10/39	#131% 12/39	26% 10/39	18% 7/39	23% 9/39	26% 10/39	10% 4/39	#231% 11/36	67% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.