Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-1204:10Citi Field

Braves

Away

4-1

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	4	7	0
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Braves scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.9

Braves scoring tendency

21%

Own scoring 8%

Opponent allowing 33%

Mets scoring tendency

34%

Own scoring 39%

Opponent allowing 29%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.3

Braves scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Mets defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Mets offense × Braves defense

28%R 40% · RA 15%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 58% · Season 61% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

47%

-6pp

7–9 Late

46%

-5pp

F5 first five

46%

-7pp

F9 full game

46%

-6pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 176Runs Allowed 133

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

37 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 163Runs Allowed 160

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	29% 10/35	26% 9/35	#331% 11/35	29% 10/35	23% 8/35	23% 8/35	26% 9/35	#151% 18/35	#233% 8/24	62% 5/8
Braves	RA	#131% 11/35	17% 6/35	17% 6/35	23% 8/35	#326% 9/35	17% 6/35	26% 9/35	23% 8/35	#229% 8/28	38% 3/8
Mets	R	24% 9/37	19% 7/37	24% 9/37	19% 7/37	#235% 13/37	22% 8/37	19% 7/37	#332% 12/37	#139% 12/31	38% 3/8
Mets	RA	24% 9/37	#330% 11/37	30% 11/37	16% 6/37	#138% 14/37	#238% 14/37	11% 4/37	22% 8/37	27% 8/30	62% 5/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.