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Final
2024-05-0807:40Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
2-3
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.6
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cooling downCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
38%R 25% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 68% · Season 59% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-1pp
7–9 Late
48%
-2pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
51%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

38 games
011223345322611327224173182841615530166361671226811891 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 193Runs Allowed 179

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games
0919293923912611215831619421225293161815710278111092410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 171Runs Allowed 156
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR#334% 13/3818% 7/38#237% 14/3829% 11/3813% 5/38#139% 15/3834% 13/3824% 9/3813% 4/3050% 1/2
RA#139% 15/38#234% 13/3821% 8/38#334% 13/3821% 8/3824% 9/3829% 11/3826% 10/3822% 7/320% 0/2
CubsR25% 9/36#239% 14/3622% 8/3622% 8/3625% 9/36#142% 15/3625% 9/3619% 7/36#329% 7/2433% 2/6
RA19% 7/3622% 8/3611% 4/36#131% 11/3625% 9/36#231% 11/3622% 8/36#328% 10/3627% 8/3050% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.