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Final
2024-05-0707:40Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
6-3
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.7
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
38%R 25% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 68% · Season 61% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-2pp
7–9 Late
49%
-1pp
F5 first five
54%
+1pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

37 games
011223345322611327224173182841615524146361571226811891 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 187Runs Allowed 176

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games
0817253423912611215831619421225272561715710278111092410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 168Runs Allowed 150
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR#335% 13/3719% 7/37#138% 14/3730% 11/3714% 5/37#238% 14/3735% 13/3724% 9/3714% 4/2950% 1/2
RA#141% 15/37#235% 13/3722% 8/37#335% 13/3722% 8/3722% 8/3727% 10/3727% 10/3723% 7/310% 0/2
CubsR26% 9/35#140% 14/3523% 8/3523% 8/3526% 9/35#240% 14/3523% 8/3520% 7/35#330% 7/2333% 2/6
RA20% 7/3523% 8/3511% 4/35#131% 11/3526% 9/35#229% 10/3523% 8/35#329% 10/3528% 8/2950% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.