Sportify
Final
2024-05-0601:35Nationals Park
8-11
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0510200008102
Nationals10150121X11113

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 16%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 37%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 37%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
33%R 16% · RA 50%
Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 20% · RA 37%
Sample 19Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 61% · Season 55% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
45%
-8pp
7–9 Late
51%
+1pp
F5 first five
49%
-3pp
F9 full game
51%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games
0816243219161201221925398481451321615197522812129 510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.63.14.76.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 120Runs Allowed 154

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
01021314282011433219123834261458176208713238141391110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 131Runs Allowed 144
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 8/34#329% 10/34#135% 12/3421% 7/3418% 6/3421% 7/33#230% 10/3312% 4/3328% 7/250% 0/1
RA29% 10/3424% 8/3432% 11/3421% 7/3426% 9/34#142% 14/3327% 9/33#236% 12/33#335% 8/23100% 1/1
NationalsR15% 5/3324% 8/33#139% 13/3312% 4/33#239% 13/3321% 7/3327% 9/3321% 7/33#334% 10/2950% 1/2
RA#327% 9/33#152% 17/3318% 6/339% 3/3327% 9/3327% 9/3318% 6/33#239% 13/3322% 6/2750% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.