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Final
2024-05-0507:15Tropicana Field
Mets
Away
1-3
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Mets100000000162
Rays10000002X371

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.9
Mets scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 36%
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Rays defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Rays offense × Mets defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 78% · Season 68% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+9pp
7–9 Late
48%
-2pp
F5 first five
49%
-3pp
F9 full game
52%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
081725348121111821521310942327519186105726118167951010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 143Runs Allowed 138

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
0817263514171151021783101549265142861025722178122097510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 130Runs Allowed 171
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR19% 6/3222% 7/3225% 8/3219% 6/32#334% 11/3225% 8/3216% 5/32#238% 12/32#138% 10/2629% 2/7
RA22% 7/32#331% 10/3228% 9/3219% 6/32#144% 14/32#238% 12/3212% 4/3222% 7/3223% 6/2657% 4/7
RaysR27% 9/3327% 9/33#230% 10/3318% 6/3315% 5/33#330% 10/3318% 6/33#136% 12/3328% 7/2583% 5/6
RA#336% 12/3315% 5/3321% 7/3327% 9/3330% 10/33#242% 14/3336% 12/3324% 8/33#146% 12/2667% 4/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.