Sportify
Final
2024-05-0504:05Nationals Park
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays400000020691
Nationals000000201364

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 42%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
22%R 15% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 62% · Season 66% · -4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
47%
-6pp
7–9 Late
50%
+0pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
52%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
0816243215161201221925398481451321615177322812119 510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.63.14.76.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 114Runs Allowed 151

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
01021314281611433219123834261458176188713218131391110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.61.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 128Runs Allowed 138
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR21% 7/33#330% 10/33#136% 12/3321% 7/3318% 6/3322% 7/32#231% 10/329% 3/3229% 7/240% 0/1
RA30% 10/3324% 8/33#333% 11/3321% 7/3327% 9/33#144% 14/3225% 8/32#238% 12/3232% 7/22100% 1/1
NationalsR16% 5/3225% 8/32#141% 13/3212% 4/32#241% 13/3222% 7/3225% 8/3222% 7/32#332% 9/2850% 1/2
RA25% 8/32#153% 17/3219% 6/329% 3/32#328% 9/3228% 9/3219% 6/32#238% 12/3223% 6/2650% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.