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Final
2024-05-0502:20Wrigley Field
5-6
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Brewers000000401580
Cubs20200101X682

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Brewers scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.5
Brewers scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.6
Brewers scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cooling downCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Brewers offense × Cubs defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Brewers defense
40%R 25% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 72% · Season 60% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-4pp
7–9 Late
45%
-4pp
F5 first five
53%
+0pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Brewers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
07142128172112112222123161442115517206171571810881393110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 160Runs Allowed 133

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
08172534219126112138316194182252525616117927811992410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 157Runs Allowed 145
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
BrewersR#135% 11/31#235% 11/31#335% 11/3126% 8/3135% 11/3132% 10/3129% 9/3132% 10/3123% 6/26100% 3/3
RA#139% 12/31#329% 9/3123% 7/3123% 7/3123% 7/3123% 7/3123% 7/3119% 6/31#230% 8/2733% 1/3
CubsR24% 8/33#142% 14/3321% 7/3324% 8/3324% 8/33#236% 12/3321% 7/3318% 6/33#330% 7/2333% 2/6
RA21% 7/3324% 8/3312% 4/33#133% 11/3327% 9/33#230% 10/3321% 7/33#330% 10/3326% 7/2750% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.