Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-0406:50Tropicana Field

Mets

Away

8-10

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	3	0	0	4	0	0	0	1	8	10	0
Rays	0	3	5	1	0	1	0	0	X	10	13	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.5

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.8

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Rays defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Rays offense × Mets defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 75% · Season 67% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

46%

-9pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+6pp

7–9 Late

49%

-1pp

F5 first five

48%

-5pp

F9 full game

51%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 135Runs Allowed 128

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 120Runs Allowed 163

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	19% 6/31	19% 6/31	26% 8/31	19% 6/31	#332% 10/31	26% 8/31	16% 5/31	#139% 12/31	#236% 9/25	29% 2/7
Mets	RA	23% 7/31	#329% 9/31	26% 8/31	16% 5/31	#145% 14/31	#235% 11/31	13% 4/31	23% 7/31	23% 6/26	57% 4/7
Rays	R	#228% 9/32	25% 8/32	#328% 9/32	16% 5/32	16% 5/32	28% 9/32	19% 6/32	#138% 12/32	28% 7/25	83% 5/6
Rays	RA	#338% 12/32	12% 4/32	22% 7/32	28% 9/32	28% 9/32	#244% 14/32	38% 12/32	25% 8/32	#144% 11/25	67% 4/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.