Sportify
Final
2024-05-0406:45Nationals Park
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays030000000372
Nationals00100044X9121

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 42%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Nationals defense
28%R 26% · RA 30%
Nationals offense × Blue Jays defense
36%R 30% · RA 42%
Sample 19Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 64% · Season 60% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-4pp
7–9 Late
47%
-3pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
0715223015161171221924398481451321615137318812119 510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.63.14.76.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 111Runs Allowed 142

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
091928388161143021812383426145817614879218131391110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 119Runs Allowed 135
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR22% 7/3228% 9/32#138% 12/3222% 7/3219% 6/3223% 7/31#232% 10/3110% 3/31#330% 7/230% 0/1
RA31% 10/3225% 8/3231% 10/3222% 7/3228% 9/32#145% 14/3123% 7/31#235% 11/31#332% 7/22100% 1/1
NationalsR16% 5/3126% 8/31#239% 12/3113% 4/31#142% 13/3123% 7/3123% 7/3119% 6/31#332% 9/2850% 1/2
RA26% 8/31#152% 16/3119% 6/3110% 3/31#329% 9/3129% 9/3119% 6/31#239% 12/3124% 6/2550% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.