Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-0207:10Citi Field

Cubs

Away

1-0

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	0
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Cubs scoring tendency

29%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 31%

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 43%

Opponent allowing 38%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.5

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.6

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Mets defense

29%R 27% · RA 31%

Mets offense × Cubs defense

40%R 43% · RA 38%

Sample 14Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 69% · Season 64% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+4pp

7–9 Late

55%

+4pp

F5 first five

52%

-2pp

F9 full game

54%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 149Runs Allowed 135

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 128Runs Allowed 121

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	27% 8/30	#143% 13/30	23% 7/30	27% 8/30	20% 6/30	#333% 10/30	23% 7/30	20% 6/30	#235% 7/20	25% 1/4
Cubs	RA	23% 7/30	27% 8/30	13% 4/30	#137% 11/30	27% 8/30	#230% 9/30	23% 7/30	#330% 9/30	29% 7/24	50% 2/4
Mets	R	21% 6/29	21% 6/29	28% 8/29	21% 6/29	#331% 9/29	24% 7/29	17% 5/29	#141% 12/29	#239% 9/23	20% 1/5
Mets	RA	24% 7/29	#328% 8/29	28% 8/29	17% 5/29	#141% 12/29	#234% 10/29	14% 4/29	24% 7/29	25% 6/24	60% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.