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Final
2024-05-0204:10Petco Park
Reds
Away
2-6
Padres
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Reds100010000241
Padres00020040X680

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Reds scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.1
Reds scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.7
Reds scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Padres defense
25%R 30% · RA 20%
Padres offense × Reds defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 68% · Season 68% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-3pp
7–9 Late
47%
-4pp
F5 first five
53%
-0pp
F9 full game
53%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games
0715223010181197224143131241217519166152472158111294110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.22.53.85.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 148Runs Allowed 126

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
0919293931211102522317310244131252414624157122689791 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 157Runs Allowed 161
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR20% 6/30#330% 9/3030% 9/3027% 8/3023% 7/3030% 9/3023% 7/30#133% 10/30#232% 7/22100% 1/1
RA#333% 10/3017% 5/3027% 8/3027% 8/3033% 10/30#140% 12/30#237% 11/3017% 5/3022% 5/23100% 1/1
PadresR#336% 12/3318% 6/33#239% 13/3324% 8/3312% 4/33#142% 14/3333% 11/3327% 9/3312% 3/2650% 1/2
RA#139% 13/33#236% 12/3324% 8/33#336% 12/3315% 5/3324% 8/3330% 10/3330% 10/3321% 6/280% 0/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.