Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-0109:40T-Mobile Park

Braves

Away

2-3

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	6	0
Mariners	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	X	3	7	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.8

Braves scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Mariners defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Mariners offense × Braves defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 65% · Season 57% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

43%

-10pp

7–9 Late

52%

+1pp

F5 first five

48%

-5pp

F9 full game

49%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 150Runs Allowed 104

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 106Runs Allowed 95

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	30% 8/27	#333% 9/27	26% 7/27	30% 8/27	30% 8/27	30% 8/27	26% 7/27	#156% 15/27	#244% 8/18	67% 4/6
Braves	RA	#137% 10/27	19% 5/27	11% 3/27	19% 5/27	#330% 8/27	15% 4/27	22% 6/27	22% 6/27	#230% 7/23	17% 1/6
Mariners	R	#228% 8/29	#131% 9/29	21% 6/29	17% 5/29	14% 4/29	#328% 8/29	21% 6/29	14% 4/29	24% 5/21	100% 3/3
Mariners	RA	17% 5/29	#231% 9/29	17% 5/29	#141% 12/29	14% 4/29	21% 6/29	#331% 9/29	31% 9/29	8% 2/25	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.