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Final
2024-05-0109:40Petco Park
Reds
Away
4-6
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Reds scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.7
Reds scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.6
Reds scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Padres defense
35%R 25% · RA 45%
Padres offense × Reds defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 68% · Season 67% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-2pp
7–9 Late
48%
-3pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
53%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games
0715223010181197224133131241213517156132472158111294110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.22.53.85.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 144Runs Allowed 120

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
091929393121110252221731024491252312624137122689791 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 151Runs Allowed 157
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR21% 6/29#331% 9/2931% 9/2928% 8/2924% 7/2928% 8/2921% 6/29#134% 10/29#233% 7/21100% 1/1
RA#334% 10/2917% 5/2924% 7/2928% 8/2931% 9/29#138% 11/29#238% 11/2917% 5/2922% 5/23100% 1/1
PadresR#238% 12/3219% 6/32#338% 12/3225% 8/329% 3/32#141% 13/3234% 11/3228% 9/3212% 3/2650% 1/2
RA#141% 13/32#238% 12/3225% 8/32#338% 12/3216% 5/3222% 7/3228% 9/3231% 10/3222% 6/270% 0/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.