Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-05-0107:10Citi Field

Cubs

Away

2-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	2
Mets	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	X	4	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.9

Cubs scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

39%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 38%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.8

Cubs scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Mets defense

35%R 25% · RA 45%

Mets offense × Cubs defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 65% · Season 62% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

48%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+6pp

7–9 Late

53%

+2pp

F5 first five

53%

-1pp

F9 full game

53%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 147Runs Allowed 131

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 124Runs Allowed 119

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	28% 8/29	#141% 12/29	24% 7/29	28% 8/29	21% 6/29	#234% 10/29	24% 7/29	21% 6/29	#332% 6/19	25% 1/4
Cubs	RA	21% 6/29	28% 8/29	14% 4/29	#138% 11/29	28% 8/29	28% 8/29	24% 7/29	#231% 9/29	#329% 7/24	50% 2/4
Mets	R	18% 5/28	21% 6/28	29% 8/28	21% 6/28	#332% 9/28	21% 6/28	18% 5/28	#143% 12/28	#239% 9/23	20% 1/5
Mets	RA	25% 7/28	25% 7/28	#329% 8/28	18% 5/28	#143% 12/28	#236% 10/28	14% 4/28	25% 7/28	22% 5/23	60% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.