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Final
2024-04-2904:10Petco Park
8-6
Padres
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Phillies0202021108121
Padres003000300690

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.7
Phillies scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Padres defense
45%R 50% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Phillies defense
28%R 35% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 73% · Season 74% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-6pp
7–9 Late
45%
-6pp
F5 first five
52%
-2pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games
091827372991962191538441585121662077421871494410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 127Runs Allowed 104

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games
091928383020110212191631022491252310621127122588691 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 143Runs Allowed 144
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#150% 14/2818% 5/28#332% 9/2821% 6/28#236% 10/2832% 9/2832% 9/2811% 3/2825% 5/20100% 3/3
RA21% 6/2814% 4/28#232% 9/2814% 4/2818% 5/2818% 5/2818% 5/28#136% 10/28#329% 7/2433% 1/3
PadresR#237% 11/3020% 6/30#337% 11/3027% 8/3010% 3/30#143% 13/3033% 10/3030% 9/308% 2/2450% 1/2
RA#140% 12/30#333% 10/3023% 7/30#237% 11/3017% 5/3020% 6/3027% 8/3030% 9/3020% 5/250% 0/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.