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Final
2024-04-2901:40Citi Field
2-4
Mets
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Team1234567891011RHE
Cardinals00001000001240
Mets00000100003X481

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp
#2
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.9
Cardinals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 27%
Mets scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 12%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Mets defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Mets offense × Cardinals defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +30pp
Last 20 80% · Season 72% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+6pp
7–9 Late
51%
-0pp
F5 first five
52%
-2pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games
0102132431316110728113894934514206147713788591310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 98Runs Allowed 119

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

26 games
081624336121813215163108417225121661057261081549 810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.81.72.53.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 119Runs Allowed 114
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR22% 6/2722% 6/27#226% 7/2719% 5/27#326% 7/2726% 7/2722% 6/27#130% 8/2722% 5/2333% 1/3
RA#330% 8/2722% 6/2719% 5/2719% 5/27#141% 11/27#237% 10/2722% 6/2715% 4/2715% 3/2067% 2/3
MetsR15% 4/2623% 6/2631% 8/2623% 6/26#335% 9/2619% 5/2619% 5/26#146% 12/26#243% 9/210% 0/3
RA27% 7/2627% 7/26#331% 8/2619% 5/26#142% 11/26#238% 10/2615% 4/2623% 6/2619% 4/2167% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.