Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-04-2808:40Petco Park

Phillies

Away

5-1

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	2	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	5	8	0
Padres	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.3

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.6

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Padres scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 10%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Padres defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Padres offense × Phillies defense

30%R 40% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 73% · Season 73% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

47%

-7pp

7–9 Late

46%

-5pp

F5 first five

52%

-1pp

F9 full game

50%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 122Runs Allowed 103

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

29 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 142Runs Allowed 139

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#148% 13/27	19% 5/27	#233% 9/27	22% 6/27	#333% 9/27	33% 9/27	33% 9/27	11% 3/27	26% 5/19	100% 3/3
Phillies	RA	22% 6/27	15% 4/27	#133% 9/27	15% 4/27	19% 5/27	19% 5/27	19% 5/27	#233% 9/27	#330% 7/23	33% 1/3
Padres	R	#238% 11/29	21% 6/29	#338% 11/29	28% 8/29	10% 3/29	#145% 13/29	34% 10/29	28% 8/29	9% 2/23	50% 1/2
Padres	RA	#138% 11/29	#334% 10/29	24% 7/29	#238% 11/29	14% 4/29	21% 6/29	28% 8/29	31% 9/29	21% 5/24	0% 0/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.