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Final
2024-04-2602:10Kauffman Stadium
1-2
Royals
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Blue Jays00010----130
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Royals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 12%
Royals scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 27%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Royals defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Royals offense × Blue Jays defense
22%R 10% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 60% · Season 62% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-2pp
7–9 Late
48%
-2pp
F5 first five
49%
-5pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

25 games
051117231310114821718375471351114613137212811109 510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.63.14.76.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 95Runs Allowed 108

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

25 games
081624331751161121210391241155161062657510841191 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 117Runs Allowed 79
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR24% 6/25#232% 8/25#144% 11/2520% 5/2520% 5/2520% 5/25#332% 8/258% 2/2532% 6/190% 0/1
RA24% 6/2524% 6/25#336% 9/2516% 4/2532% 8/25#140% 10/2528% 7/2532% 8/25#238% 6/16100% 1/1
RoyalsR#328% 7/2528% 7/2516% 4/2524% 6/2524% 6/25#132% 8/25#232% 8/2512% 3/2527% 4/15100% 1/1
RA12% 3/2516% 4/25#128% 7/25#228% 7/2516% 4/25#328% 7/258% 2/2528% 7/2523% 5/220% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.