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Final
2024-04-2507:40Kauffman Stadium
2-3
Royals
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays000011000262
Royals11001000X390

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Royals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Royals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp
#3
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 12%
Royals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Royals defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Royals offense × Blue Jays defense
22%R 10% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 62% · Season 65% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-4pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
48%
-6pp
F9 full game
49%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

24 games
05111723139114721718375461251014613137212811109 510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.63.14.76.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 93Runs Allowed 105

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

24 games
08162433165115112121039124104516962657510841191 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 114Runs Allowed 77
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR25% 6/24#233% 8/24#146% 11/2421% 5/2417% 4/2417% 4/24#333% 8/248% 2/2433% 6/180% 0/1
RA21% 5/2421% 5/24#238% 9/2417% 4/2429% 7/24#142% 10/2429% 7/2433% 8/24#338% 6/16100% 1/1
RoyalsR25% 6/2425% 6/2417% 4/2425% 6/2421% 5/24#133% 8/24#233% 8/2412% 3/24#327% 4/15100% 1/1
RA12% 3/2417% 4/24#129% 7/24#229% 7/2412% 3/2425% 6/248% 2/24#329% 7/2424% 5/210% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.