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Final
2024-04-2506:40Great American Ball Park
4-7
Reds
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Team123456789RHE
Phillies1010011004111
Reds00100411X7101

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Reds scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.6
Phillies scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Reds scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 10%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Reds scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Reds defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Reds offense × Phillies defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 62% · Season 64% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+4pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
53%
-1pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

24 games
071522302491962101337441285101261747419871494410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 104Runs Allowed 93

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
071421298121156222831212412135101368237194810794110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.22.53.85.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 120Runs Allowed 99
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#146% 11/2421% 5/2425% 6/2421% 5/24#238% 9/2429% 7/2429% 7/2412% 3/24#331% 5/16100% 3/3
RA25% 6/2417% 4/24#329% 7/2417% 4/2421% 5/2417% 4/2412% 3/24#133% 8/24#233% 7/2133% 1/3
RedsR17% 4/23#330% 7/2330% 7/2330% 7/2330% 7/2326% 6/2317% 4/23#235% 8/23#138% 6/16100% 1/1
RA30% 7/2317% 4/2322% 5/2335% 8/23#239% 9/23#339% 9/23#143% 10/2317% 4/2316% 3/19100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.