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Final
2024-04-2407:40Wrigley Field
Astros
Away
2-7
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Astros000110000261
Cubs50000101X760

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Astros scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.2
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.6
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Cubs defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Astros defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 75% · Season 71% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+9pp
7–9 Late
48%
-3pp
F5 first five
58%
+4pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
07142129152111011281531774913581262310741382199 310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 96Runs Allowed 124

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

22 games
071421281231221121353151641313519176129741888791210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 119Runs Allowed 101
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#143% 10/23#326% 6/2322% 5/23#243% 10/2322% 5/2322% 5/2326% 6/2313% 3/235% 1/190% 0/3
RA26% 6/2326% 6/2317% 4/23#330% 7/23#235% 8/2330% 7/2322% 5/2322% 5/23#150% 9/18100% 3/3
CubsR27% 6/22#150% 11/2232% 7/2232% 7/2223% 5/22#236% 8/2223% 5/2214% 3/22#333% 5/1525% 1/4
RA9% 2/22#136% 8/229% 2/22#236% 8/2227% 6/2232% 7/2227% 6/22#336% 8/2228% 5/1850% 2/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.