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Final
2024-04-2204:10Petco Park
3-6
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays011000100362
Padres10100202X660

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#2
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Padres defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Blue Jays defense
25%R 35% · RA 15%
Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp
Last 20 60% · Season 61% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
47%
-7pp
7–9 Late
53%
+1pp
F5 first five
51%
-3pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
05111622138113721217375459581061213721081199 510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.63.14.76.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 83Runs Allowed 93

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
07142129231519192118381549852096179761888691 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 112Runs Allowed 107
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 6/21#333% 7/21#238% 8/2124% 5/2114% 3/2114% 3/2133% 7/2110% 2/21#140% 6/150% 0/1
RA19% 4/2124% 5/21#138% 8/2119% 4/2129% 6/21#238% 8/21#333% 7/2133% 7/2133% 5/15100% 1/1
PadresR#235% 8/2322% 5/2326% 6/2330% 7/2313% 3/23#148% 11/23#335% 8/2322% 5/2311% 2/1850% 1/2
RA#139% 9/23#235% 8/2317% 4/23#335% 8/2313% 3/2322% 5/2326% 6/2330% 7/2325% 5/200% 0/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.