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Final
2024-04-2202:20Wrigley Field
6-3
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Marlins0103101006111
Cubs010200000380

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.6
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Cubs defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Marlins defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 70% · Season 72% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+8pp
7–9 Late
52%
-0pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

22 games
09182737166181229163111649125101265297368889 310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 79Runs Allowed 120

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
061320271231211021353131341312519176128741888791210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 116Runs Allowed 95
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR18% 4/2223% 5/2218% 4/22#132% 7/2223% 5/22#327% 6/2218% 4/229% 2/22#230% 6/200% 0/4
RA18% 4/22#241% 9/2236% 8/2236% 8/22#341% 9/2232% 7/22#150% 11/2227% 6/2225% 4/1650% 2/4
CubsR29% 6/21#148% 10/2133% 7/2129% 6/2124% 5/21#238% 8/2124% 5/2114% 3/21#336% 5/1425% 1/4
RA10% 2/21#233% 7/2110% 2/21#333% 7/2124% 5/2133% 7/2124% 5/21#138% 8/2129% 5/1750% 2/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.