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Final
2024-04-2108:40Petco Park
5-2
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays310000001580
Padres000000110291

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Padres defense
20%R 15% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Blue Jays defense
45%R 50% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 65% · Season 64% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-4pp
7–9 Late
51%
-1pp
F5 first five
52%
-3pp
F9 full game
53%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

20 games
0511162210811272121737545958106121272981099 510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.63.14.76.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 78Runs Allowed 91

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

22 games
07142129231219182118381549852096169751888591 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 110Runs Allowed 102
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR25% 5/2030% 6/20#140% 8/2025% 5/2015% 3/2015% 3/20#335% 7/2010% 2/20#236% 5/140% 0/1
RA20% 4/2025% 5/20#140% 8/2020% 4/2030% 6/20#240% 8/2030% 6/2030% 6/20#336% 5/14100% 1/1
PadresR#236% 8/2223% 5/2227% 6/22#332% 7/2214% 3/22#150% 11/2232% 7/2218% 4/2212% 2/1750% 1/2
RA#136% 8/22#332% 7/2218% 4/22#236% 8/2214% 3/2223% 5/2227% 6/2232% 7/2221% 4/190% 0/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.