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Final
2024-04-2009:40Petco Park
5-1
Padres
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Blue Jays1400000005110
Padres001000000151

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 16%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
49%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 42%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 37%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Padres defense
20%R 16% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Blue Jays defense
49%R 55% · RA 42%
Sample 19Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 69% · Season 67% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+0pp
7–9 Late
57%
+4pp
F5 first five
53%
-1pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
05101520981872121637545958106121272981099 510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.63.14.76.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 73Runs Allowed 90

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
07142129231119142108381549852096169751888591 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 109Runs Allowed 97
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR21% 4/1926% 5/19#142% 8/1926% 5/1916% 3/1916% 3/19#337% 7/1911% 2/19#238% 5/130% 0/1
RA21% 4/1926% 5/19#337% 7/1921% 4/1932% 6/19#142% 8/1932% 6/1932% 6/19#238% 5/13100% 1/1
PadresR#238% 8/2124% 5/2124% 5/21#333% 7/2114% 3/21#152% 11/2133% 7/2119% 4/2112% 2/1650% 1/2
RA#233% 7/2129% 6/2119% 4/21#138% 8/2114% 3/2124% 5/2129% 6/21#333% 7/2122% 4/180% 0/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.