Sportify
Final
2024-04-2006:45Nationals Park
Astros
Away
5-3
Team123456789RHE
Astros0300100105130
Nationals001010001380

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Astros scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 61%
Nationals scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.5
Astros scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 33%
Nationals scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 22%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Nationals defense
43%R 25% · RA 61%
Nationals offense × Astros defense
29%R 28% · RA 30%
Sample 18Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 72% · Season 72% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+1pp
7–9 Late
46%
-6pp
F5 first five
58%
+4pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

20 games
0613202714171711281431764810581162110721382169 210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 87Runs Allowed 110

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
061218253711020214103224131054136737488969 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 66Runs Allowed 80
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR#245% 9/20#325% 5/2025% 5/20#150% 10/2020% 4/2025% 5/2025% 5/205% 1/206% 1/160% 0/2
RA20% 4/20#230% 6/2015% 3/20#330% 6/2030% 6/2030% 6/2025% 5/2025% 5/20#144% 7/16100% 2/2
NationalsR11% 2/1828% 5/18#150% 9/1811% 2/18#244% 8/1817% 3/1828% 5/1817% 3/18#338% 6/160% 0/1
RA22% 4/18#161% 11/1822% 4/1811% 2/18#233% 6/18#333% 6/1817% 3/1828% 5/1821% 3/14100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.