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Final
2024-04-2002:20Wrigley Field
3-8
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Marlins scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 39%
Cubs scoring tendency
46%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 42%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 28%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 58%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.6
Marlins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 33%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Cubs defense
33%R 26% · RA 39%
Cubs offense × Marlins defense
46%R 50% · RA 42%
Sample 18Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 79% · Season 79% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+7pp
7–9 Late
58%
+6pp
F5 first five
55%
+0pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
09182737163181129103816481159865297368489 310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 70Runs Allowed 105

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

18 games
0612182593120102753131041211515166128741888391210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 101Runs Allowed 86
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR21% 4/19#126% 5/1921% 4/19#226% 5/1921% 4/19#326% 5/1921% 4/1911% 2/1924% 4/170% 0/4
RA11% 2/19#242% 8/1932% 6/19#342% 8/1942% 8/1932% 6/19#158% 11/1932% 6/1927% 4/1550% 2/4
CubsR22% 4/18#150% 9/1828% 5/1833% 6/1822% 4/18#239% 7/1828% 5/1817% 3/18#338% 5/1325% 1/4
RA11% 2/18#239% 7/1811% 2/1828% 5/1822% 4/18#333% 6/1828% 5/18#144% 8/1821% 3/1450% 2/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.