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Final
2024-04-1607:10Citi Field
3-6
Mets
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Pirates000003000331
Mets00000303X680

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Pirates scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 56%
Opponent allowing 33%
Mets scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.8
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 33%
Mets scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#3
Inn.9
Pirates scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 27%
Opponent allowing 23%
Mets scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Mets defense
45%R 56% · RA 33%
Mets offense × Pirates defense
29%R 33% · RA 25%
Sample 15Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 74% · Season 74% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+1pp
7–9 Late
64%
+11pp
F5 first five
59%
+3pp
F9 full game
60%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

16 games
05111723591188286357494510261211785871095110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 87Runs Allowed 63

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

15 games
0511162257168299387487518652717981039 810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.81.72.53.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 69Runs Allowed 68
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR12% 2/16#156% 9/1631% 5/1625% 4/16#238% 6/16#338% 6/1638% 6/1631% 5/1627% 4/1567% 4/6
RA25% 4/1625% 4/16#231% 5/16#331% 5/1625% 4/1612% 2/1631% 5/1625% 4/16#150% 7/1417% 1/6
MetsR20% 3/15#333% 5/1533% 5/1527% 4/1533% 5/157% 1/1520% 3/15#153% 8/15#238% 5/130% 0/3
RA#233% 5/15#333% 5/1520% 3/1527% 4/1533% 5/15#140% 6/1513% 2/1533% 5/1523% 3/1367% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.