Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-04-1409:40T-Mobile Park

Cubs

Away

4-1

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	4	6	1
Mariners	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 57%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 21%

Opponent allowing 38%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 54%

Opponent allowing 36%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 31%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.6

Cubs scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 46%

Opponent allowing 29%

Mariners scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 14%

Opponent allowing 38%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Mariners defense

48%R 38% · RA 57%

Mariners offense × Cubs defense

30%R 21% · RA 38%

Sample 13Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 78% · Season 78% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-10pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+2pp

7–9 Late

55%

+1pp

F5 first five

49%

-7pp

F9 full game

53%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

13 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 75Runs Allowed 66

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

14 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 46Runs Allowed 65

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	23% 3/13	#154% 7/13	23% 3/13	38% 5/13	15% 2/13	#346% 6/13	23% 3/13	8% 1/13	#250% 4/8	0% 0/1
Cubs	RA	8% 1/13	31% 4/13	8% 1/13	#238% 5/13	15% 2/13	#338% 5/13	31% 4/13	#146% 6/13	11% 1/9	100% 1/1
Mariners	R	14% 2/14	#229% 4/14	14% 2/14	#321% 3/14	0% 0/14	14% 2/14	21% 3/14	21% 3/14	#136% 4/11	100% 2/2
Mariners	RA	14% 2/14	#336% 5/14	29% 4/14	#157% 8/14	21% 3/14	29% 4/14	21% 3/14	#243% 6/14	18% 2/11	50% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.