Scoring Analysis

Final

2024-04-1401:40Citi Field

Royals

Away

11-7

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	1	3	0	4	1	2	0	0	0	11	13	0
Mets	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	7	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Royals scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 14%

Opponent allowing 38%

Mets scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 46%

Opponent allowing 29%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.4

Royals scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 21%

Opponent allowing 23%

Mets scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 31%

Opponent allowing 43%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Inn.2

Royals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 31%

Mets scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 14%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Mets defense

26%R 14% · RA 38%

Mets offense × Royals defense

37%R 46% · RA 29%

Sample 13Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 64% · Season 64% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-5pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-4pp

7–9 Late

51%

-3pp

F5 first five

53%

-3pp

F9 full game

51%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

14 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 73Runs Allowed 39

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

13 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 60Runs Allowed 56

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	#136% 5/14	#329% 4/14	29% 4/14	21% 3/14	14% 2/14	29% 4/14	#236% 5/14	14% 2/14	14% 1/7	100% 1/1
Royals	RA	14% 2/14	14% 2/14	21% 3/14	#143% 6/14	14% 2/14	14% 2/14	0% 0/14	#329% 4/14	#231% 4/13	0% 0/1
Mets	R	15% 2/13	#338% 5/13	31% 4/13	31% 4/13	38% 5/13	0% 0/13	23% 3/13	#146% 6/13	#242% 5/12	0% 0/3
Mets	RA	#331% 4/13	31% 4/13	23% 3/13	23% 3/13	31% 4/13	#138% 5/13	15% 2/13	#238% 5/13	18% 2/11	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.