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Final
2024-04-1106:40Petco Park
Cubs
Away
2-10
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Cubs scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 29%
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 36%
Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp
#2
Inn.2
Cubs scoring tendency
46%
Own scoring 64%
Opponent allowing 29%
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 18%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 36%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense
42%R 55% · RA 29%
Padres offense × Cubs defense
43%R 50% · RA 36%
Sample 11Combined vs league +30pp
Last 20 85% · Season 85% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+8pp
7–9 Late
52%
-4pp
F5 first five
53%
-1pp
F9 full game
56%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

11 games
051117238211842523954665141164571158619 110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 71Runs Allowed 52

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

14 games
051116221781682106349438513665774178849ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.5123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 70Runs Allowed 73
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR27% 3/11#164% 7/1127% 3/1136% 4/1118% 2/11#255% 6/1118% 2/119% 1/11#350% 3/60% 0/1
RA9% 1/1118% 2/119% 1/11#327% 3/1118% 2/11#236% 4/1127% 3/11#145% 5/1111% 1/9100% 1/1
PadresR#243% 6/1421% 3/14#336% 5/1429% 4/1414% 2/14#150% 7/1414% 2/1421% 3/1420% 2/10-
RA#329% 4/1429% 4/1421% 3/14#236% 5/1421% 3/1429% 4/1429% 4/14#143% 6/1423% 3/13-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.