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Final
2024-04-0404:10Petco Park
2-3
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals000100010260
Padres11010000X371

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +31pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 38%
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 17%
Opponent allowing 50%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense
38%R 50% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Cardinals defense
50%R 50% · RA 50%
Sample 6Combined vs league +31pp
Last 20 88% · Season 88% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+11pp
7–9 Late
60%
+3pp
F5 first five
59%
+2pp
F9 full game
62%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

6 games
02468331122243144125646537538 291 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 25Runs Allowed 27

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

8 games
049131810715429633443354465772148839ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 49Runs Allowed 52
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR17% 1/617% 1/6#233% 2/617% 1/617% 1/6#150% 3/617% 1/6#333% 2/60% 0/6100% 1/1
RA#333% 2/633% 2/633% 2/633% 2/617% 1/6#150% 3/6#250% 3/617% 1/633% 1/30% 0/1
PadresR25% 2/825% 2/8#150% 4/8#338% 3/825% 2/8#250% 4/825% 2/825% 2/833% 2/6-
RA#338% 3/838% 3/838% 3/838% 3/825% 2/825% 2/8#150% 4/8#250% 4/825% 2/8-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.