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Final
2024-04-0309:40Petco Park
5-2
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals001002020560
Padres010100000291

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 14%
Padres scoring tendency
59%
Own scoring 57%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +28pp
#2
Inn.7
Cardinals scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 57%
Padres scoring tendency
44%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#3
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 29%
Padres scoring tendency
49%
Own scoring 57%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense
27%R 40% · RA 14%
Padres offense × Cardinals defense
59%R 57% · RA 60%
Sample 5Combined vs league +28pp
Last 20 86% · Season 86% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
63%
+9pp
7–9 Late
66%
+10pp
F5 first five
58%
+0pp
F9 full game
64%
+7pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

5 games
01357331112143134125446537338 291 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 20Runs Allowed 25

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

7 games
037111510714429532443354265772128839ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 47Runs Allowed 47
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#220% 1/5#320% 1/520% 1/520% 1/520% 1/5#140% 2/520% 1/520% 1/50% 0/5100% 1/1
RA40% 2/520% 1/540% 2/520% 1/520% 1/5#160% 3/5#260% 3/520% 1/5#350% 1/20% 0/1
PadresR29% 2/714% 1/7#157% 4/729% 2/729% 2/7#257% 4/729% 2/729% 2/7#340% 2/5-
RA#243% 3/7#343% 3/729% 2/743% 3/729% 2/714% 1/7#157% 4/743% 3/729% 2/7-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.