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Final
2025-03-2301:10Clover Park
5-5
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#2
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp
Last 20 73% · Season 71% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+1pp
7–9 Late
43%
-18pp
F5 first five
56%
-5pp
F9 full game
52%
-8pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games
0919293924161314220193163141528522136139718685139ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.4123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 136Runs Allowed 149

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games
06132027141511382191231184156518126721712148869ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 117Runs Allowed 102
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#233% 9/277% 2/27#333% 9/2733% 9/27#141% 11/2730% 8/2719% 5/2730% 8/2713% 3/23-
RA26% 7/2733% 9/27#244% 12/27#148% 13/27#344% 12/2726% 7/2715% 4/2719% 5/2735% 8/23-
MetsR25% 7/2818% 5/28#139% 11/2821% 6/28#229% 8/28#329% 8/2811% 3/2829% 8/2823% 5/22-
RA25% 7/2818% 5/2825% 7/2821% 6/2818% 5/28#229% 8/28#329% 8/28#141% 11/2720% 4/20-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.