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Final
2025-03-2204:05Sloan Park
Padres
Away
5-1
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Padres scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 47%
Cubs scoring tendency
46%
Own scoring 53%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp
#2
Inn.3
Padres scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 37%
Cubs scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.9
Padres scoring tendency
51%
Own scoring 62%
Opponent allowing 39%
Cubs scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 14%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
39%R 30% · RA 47%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
46%R 53% · RA 40%
Sample 19Combined vs league +25pp
Last 20 85% · Season 87% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
72%
+12pp
4–6 Middle
60%
-2pp
7–9 Late
70%
+9pp
F5 first five
67%
+6pp
F9 full game
67%
+7pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games
081624331714123232131539104121054266172271025816109ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 121Runs Allowed 155

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
0816243311101181722611381141285221261767121187139ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.7123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 133Runs Allowed 99
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR26% 7/27#237% 10/2730% 8/2722% 6/2719% 5/2711% 3/27#333% 9/2730% 8/27#162% 13/21-
RA26% 7/27#337% 10/2733% 9/2719% 5/2726% 7/2737% 10/27#144% 12/27#241% 11/2721% 4/19-
CubsR21% 4/19#153% 10/19#347% 9/1926% 5/1942% 8/19#253% 10/1932% 6/1937% 7/1933% 4/12-
RA32% 6/19#147% 9/19#337% 7/1932% 6/1937% 7/1926% 5/1916% 3/1937% 7/19#239% 7/18-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.