Sportify
Final
2025-03-1906:05Ed Smith Stadium
2-8
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays000001100240
Orioles01420010X8100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 55%
Orioles scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Orioles scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 58%
Opponent allowing 31%
Orioles scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Orioles defense
43%R 30% · RA 55%
Orioles offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 80% · Season 79% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
70%
+8pp
7–9 Late
72%
+10pp
F5 first five
66%
+4pp
F9 full game
67%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

24 games
07152230129114172914321104181651523611127221282499ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 146Runs Allowed 122

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

24 games
081624331381266213243192241823513166111971225816169ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.4123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 141Runs Allowed 159
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR33% 8/24#338% 9/2433% 8/2433% 8/2429% 7/2433% 8/2429% 7/24#246% 11/24#164% 9/14-
RA25% 6/2425% 6/2429% 7/2433% 8/2425% 6/24#142% 10/24#238% 9/24#338% 9/2428% 5/18-
OriolesR29% 7/24#150% 12/2425% 6/24#342% 10/24#246% 11/2421% 5/2433% 8/2425% 6/2430% 6/20-
RA25% 6/2421% 5/24#342% 10/24#150% 12/2438% 9/2438% 9/2433% 8/24#246% 11/2432% 6/19-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.