Sportify
Final
2025-03-1906:05CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
4-3
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals000220000492
Astros011001000372

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 12%
Opponent allowing 33%
Astros scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 41%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 75% · Season 76% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
57%
-5pp
7–9 Late
54%
-8pp
F5 first five
58%
-3pp
F9 full game
57%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
081624322314139219153142541221522126138717685139ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.4123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 128Runs Allowed 123

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
05111622141117112121539741195171761516791181499ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 108Runs Allowed 106
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#235% 8/239% 2/23#335% 8/2335% 8/23#139% 9/2335% 8/2322% 5/2330% 7/2316% 3/19-
RA26% 6/2326% 6/2339% 9/23#148% 11/23#243% 10/2326% 6/2313% 3/2322% 5/23#340% 8/20-
AstrosR22% 5/2322% 5/23#235% 8/2322% 5/2322% 5/2322% 5/23#330% 7/2326% 6/23#142% 8/19-
RA#330% 7/2330% 7/23#143% 10/2322% 5/2326% 6/2330% 7/2330% 7/2322% 5/23#241% 7/17-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.