Sportify
Final
2025-03-1606:05CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
Mets
Away
1-4
Team123456789RHE
Mets001000000150
Nationals00011200X473

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#2
Inn.5
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp
#3
Inn.8
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 37%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Nationals offense × Mets defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +3pp
Last 20 72% · Season 71% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
61%
-2pp
7–9 Late
50%
-12pp
F5 first five
57%
-4pp
F9 full game
55%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
0613202713131106214103554144512967217888639ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 89Runs Allowed 79

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

20 games
06132027191213921912313214920520106123717685129ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.3123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 117Runs Allowed 105
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR#329% 6/2119% 4/21#138% 8/2119% 4/21#233% 7/2129% 6/2114% 3/2129% 6/2125% 4/16-
RA24% 5/2119% 4/21#329% 6/2119% 4/2114% 3/2129% 6/21#138% 8/21#235% 7/2021% 3/14-
NationalsR#235% 7/2010% 2/20#140% 8/20#335% 7/2030% 6/2035% 7/2020% 4/2035% 7/2018% 3/17-
RA25% 5/2030% 6/2035% 7/20#150% 10/20#245% 9/2025% 5/205% 1/2025% 5/20#341% 7/17-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.