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Final
2025-03-1506:05CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
5-6
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays300000200561
Astros010130001X6101

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
56%
Own scoring 70%
Opponent allowing 43%
Astros scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 41%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 50%
Astros scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 47%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Astros defense
56%R 70% · RA 43%
Astros offense × Blue Jays defense
34%R 41% · RA 27%
Sample 10Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 90% · Season 90% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
56%
-7pp
7–9 Late
70%
+8pp
F5 first five
58%
-3pp
F9 full game
63%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
06132027771916281132074171151221688720782189ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.32.02.6123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 122Runs Allowed 96

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

20 games
051015201481411212153674885111661513781181389ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 91Runs Allowed 97
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR32% 6/1932% 6/19#337% 7/1937% 7/1932% 6/1937% 7/1926% 5/19#247% 9/19#170% 7/10-
RA26% 5/1926% 5/19#232% 6/1926% 5/1921% 4/19#147% 9/19#332% 6/1926% 5/1927% 4/15-
AstrosR25% 5/2015% 3/20#240% 8/2015% 3/2020% 4/2020% 4/20#335% 7/2025% 5/20#141% 7/17-
RA30% 6/20#335% 7/20#150% 10/2025% 5/2025% 5/2030% 6/2025% 5/2025% 5/20#243% 6/14-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.