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Final
2025-03-1201:05CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches
Mets
Away
4-7
Astros
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 44%
Astros scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 44%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.9
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 55%
Astros scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 27%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 31%
Astros scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 29%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Astros defense
45%R 47% · RA 44%
Astros offense × Mets defense
37%R 44% · RA 29%
Sample 16Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 82% · Season 82% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-11pp
7–9 Late
59%
-2pp
F5 first five
57%
-5pp
F9 full game
58%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

17 games
051015201212110521483554134511863167558539ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 78Runs Allowed 66

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

16 games
049131867141021111365488511146997668989ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 70Runs Allowed 78
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR#329% 5/1724% 4/17#147% 8/1724% 4/17#235% 6/1729% 5/1712% 2/1724% 4/1725% 3/12-
RA24% 4/1718% 3/17#329% 5/1724% 4/1718% 3/1729% 5/17#141% 7/17#231% 5/1627% 3/11-
AstrosR25% 4/1619% 3/16#144% 7/1619% 3/1625% 4/1625% 4/16#331% 5/1625% 4/16#236% 5/14-
RA31% 5/16#338% 6/16#244% 7/1625% 4/1631% 5/1631% 5/1625% 4/1625% 4/16#155% 6/11-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.